Latest CNBC poll: Trump trails by a healthy margin

Results of a new national poll conducted by CNBC were published. The poll asked interviewees for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.

Of those who answered the question, 47.0% said that they would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 37.0% said that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted via phone from October 21 to October 24, among a random sample of 0 likely voters.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual poll. Instead of relying on results from single polls, the recommended strategy consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 56.0% for Clinton and 44.1% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 53.1%. This value is 2.9 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the CNBC poll.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 2.4 points below polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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