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Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead


The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will end up with 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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