The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will end up with 64.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.