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Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 7.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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