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Indiana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 43.7% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, whereas Trump will win 56.3%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to gain 43.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.8% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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