The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 34.7% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will win 65.3%. In comparison, on October 29, Clinton was predicted to win only 34.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Idaho.