Idaho: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 34.7% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will win 65.3%. In comparison, on October 29, Clinton was predicted to win only 34.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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