DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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