DeSart & Holbrook model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 56.8% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will end up with 43.2%. In comparison, on October 29 Trump was still predicted to win 43.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may include large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in Oregon. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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