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DeSart & Holbrook model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 55.0% for Clinton, and 45.1% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on October 29 Trump was still predicted to obtain 45.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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