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DeSart & Holbrook model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 66.7% for Clinton, and 33.4% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on November 1 Trump was still predicted to achieve 33.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include large biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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