DeSart & Holbrook model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 66.4% for Clinton, and 33.7% for Trump in Massachusetts.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.