DeSart & Holbrook model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 64.0% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, while Trump will win 36.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maryland.