DeSart & Holbrook model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 59.2% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will win 40.8%. In comparison, on October 24 Trump was still predicted to collect 41.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data. The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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