Crosstab model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.7% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will end up with 47.3%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win 53.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.