Crosstab model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.7% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will end up with 47.3%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win 53.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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