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Crosstab model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 92.3% for Clinton, and 7.7% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on November 1, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 92.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 91.8% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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