The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 47.2% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will end up with 52.9%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 46.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.