The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 57.7% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will end up with 42.3%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to collect 43.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.