Crosstab model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 57.7% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will end up with 42.3%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to collect 43.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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