Crosstab model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.1% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, while Trump will end up with 64.9%. In comparison, on November 1, Clinton was predicted to collect only 34.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 63.8% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.