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Crosstab model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 44.9% for Clinton, and 55.1% for Trump in Missouri. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was predicted to obtain 54.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote in Missouri. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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