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Crosstab model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 55.1% for Clinton, and 44.9% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win only 54.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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