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Crosstab model in Michigan: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 53.7% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will win 46.3%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to collect 54.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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