Crosstab model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 56.3% for Clinton, and 43.7% for Trump in Maine.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in Maine. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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