Crosstab model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.6% for Clinton, and 64.4% for Trump in Kentucky. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to collect 65.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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