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Crosstab model in Illinois: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 59.2% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will end up with 40.8%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win 59.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 59.6% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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