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Crosstab model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead


The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.8% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will win 63.2%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to collect 63.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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