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Crosstab model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead


The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.6% for Clinton, and 63.4% for Trump in Idaho. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was predicted to collect 63.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 64.2% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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