Crosstab model in California: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 63.6% for Clinton, and 36.4% for Trump in California. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to gain 64.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.