Crosstab model in California: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 63.6% for Clinton, and 36.4% for Trump in California. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to gain 64.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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