Crosstab model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 45.3% for Clinton, and 54.7% for Trump in Alaska. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to obtain 54.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.8% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Alaska.