Crosstab model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 39.2% for Clinton, and 60.8% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was predicted to obtain 60.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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