Crosstab model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 39.2% for Clinton, and 60.8% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was predicted to obtain 60.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.