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Crosstab model: Clinton tied with Trump in North Carolina

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to end up with 51.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.6% and Trump 49.5% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. Clinton has 0.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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