Results of a new poll carried out by Remington Research (R) were circulated. The poll asked respondents from Wisconsin for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Remington Research (R) poll results
Of those who responded, 46.0% said that they intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 41.0% indicated that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from October 20 to October 22. A total of 1795 likely voters responded. If one accounts for the poll's sampling error of +/-2.3 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Single polls often incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in values of 52.9% for Clinton and 47.1% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
Clinton is currently at 53.7% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent polls in Wisconsin. Relative to her numbers in the Remington Research (R) poll Clinton's poll average is 0.8 percentage points better. This deviation is within the poll's error margin, which means that the poll is not an outlier.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 0.7 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's sampling error.