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California: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 65.5% of the two-party vote share in California, whereas Trump will end up with 34.5%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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