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Arizona: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 48.0% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will end up with 52.0%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win 48.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, as they may contain large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 51.2% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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