The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 48.0% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will end up with 52.0%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win 48.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, as they may contain large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 51.2% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.