West Virginia: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 33.4% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will end up with 66.6%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to gain 33.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they may include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.4% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 4.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.