Washington: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.7% for Clinton, and 41.4% for Trump in Washington. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect 58.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Washington. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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