DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 67.4% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.