Texas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 45.8% for Clinton, and 54.2% for Trump in Texas. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was predicted to achieve 53.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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