South Carolina: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 46.6% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, whereas Trump will win 53.4%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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