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Crosstab model in South Carolina: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 46.6% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will end up with 53.4%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect 46.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.3% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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