The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 58.3% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, while Trump will win 41.7%. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to collect 58.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.