Crosstab model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 58.2% for Clinton, and 41.8% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to achieve 58.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.