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Oregon: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 56.9% for Clinton, and 43.1% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was predicted to win 42.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 57.2% of the two-party vote in Oregon. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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