The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 56.8% for Clinton, and 43.2% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to obtain 43.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include large biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.2% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.