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North Carolina: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 51.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will end up with 48.6%. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to gain only 51.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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