New York: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 63.7% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will win 36.3%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 63.3% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.