Crosstab model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 59.3% for Clinton, and 40.7% for Trump in New Jersey. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to collect 40.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.6% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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