Crosstab model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 59.1% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will win 40.9%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect 59.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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