The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 59.1% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will win 40.9%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect 59.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.