Crosstab model in New Hampshire: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 54.4% for Clinton, and 45.7% for Trump in New Hampshire. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to end up with 54.5% of the vote.

Historically, New Hampshire has been a purple state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is why predictions in this state are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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