The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.4% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, whereas Trump will end up with 48.6%. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to collect 51.5% of the vote.
In Nevada, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly referred to as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Single models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.