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Nevada: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.4% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, whereas Trump will end up with 48.6%. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to collect 51.5% of the vote.

In Nevada, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly referred to as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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