Crosstab model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 45.2% for Clinton, and 54.8% for Trump in Missouri. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to garner 54.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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