Crosstab model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 45.9% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will win 54.1%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to garner 54.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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